Part of the 2nd motorized rifle division is currently being redeployed from Belarus to the Luhansk direction.
The Russian military may start a new offensive either in the Luhansk region or in the Vugledar region , which is in Donetsk region. This is the opinion of the analysts of the US Institute for the Study of War, as stated in their latest report.
It says that the recent limited attacks of the Russian army in the Zaporozhye direction are probably an attempt by the occupiers to disperse the resources of the Defense Forces. This can be a prerequisite for the activation of Russians in Luhansk Region. In addition, it is there that parts of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division from Belarus are redeployed.
As for the attack on Ukraine from the territory of Belarus, it is, according to the ISW, unlikely
“There are still no signs that Russian troops are forming strike groups in Belarus, Russian elements there mostly use Belarusian infrastructure and training potential for training rotations,” American analysts explain. , that the Russian Federation may start a new offensive already next month, said that the way it was on February 24 will no longer be the case. He explained that over the past year, Ukraine has also changed militarily, and what is no less important, the situation with the supply of weapons to us from the allies. At the same time, Danilov does not rule out that the Kremlin may dare to launch a new major offensive in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions.
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